A Foresight Scenario Method for Thinking About Complex Sustainable Development Interactions

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Date
2016-08-18Author
Glover, Dominic
Hernandez, Kevin
Rhydderch, Alun
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Abstract
In this article, we describe an innovative foresight approach, which we used to examine the interactions among three themes that are likely to be significant for international development policy and strategy
in the coming decades. We adapted existing foresight scenario methods (drivers of change analysis, scenarios, wind-tunnelling) to investigate possible trade-offs, tensions and synergies that may exist among competing international development goals of reducing inequalities, accelerating sustainability and building more inclusive and secure societies. Our method combined foresight methods with programme theory analysis, an approach commonly used in impact evaluation. We describe our approach in detail and discuss its strengths and weaknesses.
DOI
10.19088/1968-2016.155Is part of series
IDS Bulletin;474Rights holder
Institute of Development StudiesRights details
http://www.ids.ac.uk/files/dmfile/IDSOpenDocsStandardTermsOfUse.pdfhttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/uk/
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