Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorAvis, William
dc.identifier.citationAvis, W. (2017). Scenario thinking and usage among development actors. K4D Helpdesk Report 221. Brighton, UK: Institute of Development Studies.en
dc.description.abstractScenario thinking is a strategic planning method that organisations use to make flexible long-term plans. Recent discussions of this method offered by the Foresight Horizon Scanning Centre (2009) define scenario thinking (they refer to it as scenario planning) as ‘a futures technique for medium to long-term strategic analysis and planning used to develop policies and strategies that are robust, resilient, flexible and innovative’. This five day help desk review provides an overview of academic, policy and practitioner literature that examines scenario thinking. Whilst there exists’ a broad consensus that scenario thinking can play a useful role in developing organisational strategies, there is debate as to which scenario thinking approach is most appropriate, and how to avoid a number of common pitfalls associated with the use of scenarios. It is important to highlight that the term ‘scenarios’ has a broad application, receiving different levels of attention from various academic, policy and practitioner communities.en
dc.publisherInstitute of Development Studiesen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesK4D Helpdesk Report;
dc.subjectDevelopment Policyen
dc.titleScenario thinking and usage among development actorsen
rioxxterms.funderDefault funderen

Files in this item


This item appears in the following Collection(s)

  • K4D [597]
    K4D supports learning and the use of evidence to improve the impact of development policy and programmes. The programme is designed to assist DFID and other partners to be innovative and responsive to rapidly changing and complex development challenges.

Show simple item record