posted on 2024-09-05, 23:23authored byGebru Menasbo
This study explores the extent of poverty and vulnerability to poverty of households of urban
residents of Maichew, southern Tigray Regional State. The town is ranked at the bottom in
growth momentum among similar zonal towns of the region and the society exists in abject
poverty. On the other hand, the area is nominated as a growth corridor of the region.
Consumption approach is applied for the poverty analysis. The study thoroughly looks the
welfare status at household level through different analytical techniques like Foster, Greer and
Thorbecke (FGT), OLS, Probit, Tobit, 3FGLS and Gini coefficient. Using the Cost of Basic
Needs approach, food and total poverty lines of the study area are Birr 187 and Birr 251 per
month per adult respectively. Poverty profile of the town reveals that 31.70% head count, 8.9%
poverty gap and 3.75% poverty gap square. Multinomial regression result indicates that
deteriorating in social transition of household head’s is dominant.OLS regression results
illustrate that female headed households, educational level of the household head and spouse
have positive impact on welfare while family size, square age of household head, divorced and
widowed headed households have negative effect to welfare. Except in few variables, most of
OLS and probit results of welfare are consistent. Tobit model describes factors affecting
poverty gap and poverty severity of the poor households. Accordingly, pensioner headship,
family size and age square of household head aggravate the probability of falling in to poverty
gap and poverty severity. But being petty trade household head, head education, ownership of
property and service indices reduce the probability of falling to poverty severity. Using
3FGLS, the mean probability of vulnerable to poverty is 0.4 which ranges from 0.041 to 0.89.
Welfare inequality of the entire population demonstrates that the bottom poor quintile shares
only 6.37% of the total mean consumption expenditure while the top quintile takes 49.39%.
Furthermore, using Lorenz curve analysis Gini coefficient accounts 0. 49 of total inequality.
Factor decomposition of inequality typifies that property index and head social transition of
household head take the greater share of 14.6% and 12.4% respectively.
History
Publisher
Mekelle University
Citation
Menasbo Gebru (2010) Consumption base Measures and Analysis of Urban Poverty the case of Miahcew Southern Tigray, Thesis. Mekelle:MU.