A simple formula for forecasting the Botswana urban population total
Abstract
The aim of the present paper is to establish a simple functional relationship linking
urbanisation and economic growth. The paper consequently focuses on the interplay between
developments in urban population and basic economic variables, with the latter seen as
representative of important forces driving the urbanisation process.
The purpose for establishing such a relationship is to produce a short and simple "annexe" to
the revised MEMBOT model (forthcoming), capable of providing quantitative estimates
illustrating the likely nature of urban population changes under alternative economic
scenarios.